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Being Dead Wrong
Fri, 10/17/2008 - 03:22 — deadprogrammer
I like to think that I have a great intuition and am very good at predicting things. I also sometimes feel that I suffer from the Cassandra syndrome, as people don’t listen to my prediction as much as I would like them to. This made me think about the times when I made ridiculously bad predictions. Here’s a list of what comes to mind off the bat: 1. When I was young I thought that programmers will soon write a computer program for writing computer programs, and that computer programming as a profession does not have much of a future. 2. I thought that architectural drawings will always have to be done by hand, as you can’t print out plans on dot matrix printers (the only printers I’ve seen at the time). I thought, sure, you can program some straight lines and such, but you’ll never get beautiful detailed drawings with all kinds of details. 3. I thought that Handspring would become the dominant player on the handheld market the same way that IBM did: by opening up the peripheral standards. 4. I thought that Diamond Rio would be huuuge and that Diamond Multimedia would become the hottest company ever because they were first on the market with an mp3 player. 5. I thought that Apple would just shrivel up and die, and if not, that I would certainly never completely switch to Macs. Whewww, man. Those are some doozies. How about you, my readers? |
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What's All this Then?
My name is Michael Krakovskiy, and this is my blog.
Here’s what you might find interesting:
100 Views of the Empire State Building project: I try to take 100 interesting photos of Manhattan’s (sadly) tallest building.
My Gastronomic Adventures: I eat weird food - from 13 year old New Coke to Durian and parasitic fungi.
My attempts to grow exotic plants: pineapples, coconuts, etc.
My photos, mostly of New York City.
My musings about architecture mostly illustrated with my own photos. Would you like to learn about a mental patient who died at 103 who served as a model for some very famous sculptures? How about Brooklyn’s ugliest building? How about a wooden skyscraper?
I find myself frequently writing about logos. The most popular article I ever wrote is about the redesigns of the Starbucks logo.
I wrote a series of “Best Sci-Fi You Haven’t Read” posts:
Psywarrior
Yes, Virginia There Is Synergy
Call Time Police - We’ve Got a Time Traveler
Other topics that interest me include NYPD, New York City subway system, Japan, and things made out of titanium. On top of all of that, I seem to be interested in pigeions and Rupert Murdoch.
Dear reader, please browse around. You are sure to find something interesting. I could really use some help in bringing in readership: subscribe to the rss feed, digg the stories (there’s a convenient button at the bottom of every article), link to my blog from yours, write some comments. I put in a lot of effort into writing, and I really appreciate your attention.
If you don’t want all this pseudo-intellectual and want some lolcats? Please don’t go away. Here, I have that stuff too. Here, here’s another. And another. And another. I lied about not posting cat pictures.
Comments
I thought 'the internet' was a silly idea and the future was in places like CompuServe.
Meh, I say this might still come true, you know with Net Neutrality (or lack thereof, can never remember which one is the good one), Facebook and other junk.
Thought real estate would never, ever again be affordable the way it was before 2003 or so.
Something IT-related? Also thought Apple would shrivel up.
I actually rooted for GWB in the 2000 US elections. I thought if he got the republican nomination, the democrats would sweep. Who would vote for him instead of the intelligent and experienced Al Gore?
IT - Related? I thought programming would be come popularized through pipe interfaces like Yahoo Pipes and or the Apple Automator. Turns out that some people think like programmers and some don't. Programmers tend to get comfortable with text.
I also predicted like Matt that programming would be visually based with drag and drop functions connected in a map like environment.
I have predicted (and still fear) that one day hand coded HTML will no longer be needed because HTML will go the way of postscript and be a language that can be completely done from a gui. It could still happen, but so far the best code is still hand made.
I still think that Apple will shrivel up and die. :)
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